Debate Calculator
Compare two futures — with one honest noise band per argument.
Load a Debate
Choose a predefined debate to pre-fill all dimensions, or start empty and add your own.
Define the Futures
Name each future you want to compare. Add a third future if needed.
Identify the Raw Deltas
Raw deltas in their original units — not yet comparable.
Evaluate Each Dimension
Three explicit moves per argument. The probability is consumed in Step A — it does not appear again. Step C bundles all sources of uncertainty into one slider.
Two Futures
Each orbiting bubble is a consequence. Click one to see how it contributes. The heavier cluster is pulling the decision.
Instrument Panel — Future Comparison
P(correct) — Likelihood of the Right Call
One noise per argument, combined in quadrature. The gap between pro and contra is compared to the total uncertainty band.
The Pipeline